All of the characteristics that make up the folklore has a reasonable explanation behind them. As meteorologists and scientists, it is our job to explain why weather phenomena occurs and how it will impact you. To prepare forecasts, we study the atmosphere by using maps, charts and computer models to determine what conditions will be like in the Miami Valley.
A Visit to the Foremost Annual Festival for Weather-Predicting Caterpillars
Taking it a step further, we also study climate patterns to give us an idea of the winter outlook. One climate pattern in particular is the Arctic Oscillation. This year, the Arctic Oscillation will have a bigger influence on our day-to-day winter forecasts. The Arctic Oscillation is a climate pattern characterized by winds circulating counterclockwise around the Arctic. At times during the winter, these winds will weaken and strengthen. During periods of weaker winds, colder air has an easier chance of spilling south.
When there are negative periods of the Arctic Oscillation, temperatures will change quickly. Within a few days, temperatures can change from being extremely cold to mild.
These dramatic shifts in temperatures also could lead to more mixed precipitation storms filled with rain, freezing rain, sleet and snow. It has even grown in popularity throughout the years. Woolly bears are not meteorologists; never were, never professed to be. People, not caterpillars, started this legend about woolly bear caterpillars predicting the winter.
Woolly Worm Caterpillars and Winter Forecasts and Folklore
As for me, I rely on woolly bears to predict one thing, and I am pretty confident in this. Mark your calendar. If you see woolly bears crossing the road in autumn, the coming season is always going to be colder.
So, I guess, in a sense they can be used to predict an oncoming winter. Then they will not have to worry about winter.
That is my prediction! Ag Business. Commercial Growers. Farm Safety. Local Government Education. Purdue Center for Regional Development. Quality Places. Environmental Stewardship.
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Woolly Bear Caterpillar: A Winter Weather Predictor or Not?
Eating Well. Food Business. Food Safety. Food Security. He approached the then borough manager who liked the idea, he said.
Admission is $6.00 for Adults, $4.00 for Children 6-12, Free for 5 and under.
The Kiwanis got involved after the first couple of years, he said. For years a panel of adult judges wearing white lab coats using magnifying glasses and other measuring devices would closely examine the ratio between 13 black and brown rings on the woolly worms. The thicker the black the more severe the winter, said Glazer who would brag at the festival woolly worms are right percent of the time.
Judging was turned over to children in recent years after the adults commented it was so simple a year-old could do it, Glazer said.
He continued to interpret the judges' findings often linked to whether students could anticipate snow days. There were years finding sufficient caterpillars for the judging was difficult. All were returned to the wild after the event. With no woolly worm festival, people in the Lewisburg area who do not trust the National Weather Service or private firms for winter forecasts will have to rely on something like the Old Farmer's Almanac.
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